5 Oct · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1477
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skvor
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1492
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 66% (107)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.