5 Oct · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1584
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krenek
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1570
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slavik🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (126)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.