5 Oct · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1493
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jr
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1395
FormLWWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)