5 Oct · 16:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1613
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chaloupka
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1599
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 62% (58)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H37-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.