5 Oct · 16:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1449
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Janik
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1451
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Janik🌟Janik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (47)
Fair odds · Janik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.