5 Oct · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1570
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skulina
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1590
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.