5 Oct · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1619
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Galus
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1523
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
🌟Galus stays under total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Galus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~82 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H28-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)