5 Oct · 17:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1537
FormWLLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Patryk
DK
🇨🇿Denys Kovtanyuk
ELO 1368
FormLLWWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+169
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)