6 Oct · 12:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1466
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kindl
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1454
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Kindl goes over total as favourite 72% (81)
Fair odds · Kindl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H9-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.