6 Oct · 10:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1477
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Muller
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1472
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Muller rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (63)
Fair odds · Muller
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 47% · 2.14· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.