6 Oct · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1484
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Filipek
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1451
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Chlumsky covers set handicap as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Filipek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H1-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.