6 Oct · 10:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1419
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Strelec
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1497
FormWLWLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel
Fair odds · Strelec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H4-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)