6 Oct · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1504
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Radlo
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Chojnacki
ELO 1503
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Radlo
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~81 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.