6 Oct · 16:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1542
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hyza
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1573
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H13-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.