6 Oct · 17:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Volek
ELO 1488
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1516
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volek🌟Volek covers set handicap as underdog 71% (17)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.