6 Oct · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1438
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Strelec
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1498
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel
Fair odds · Strelec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H5-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)