6 Oct · 17:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1723
FormLWLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Moravec
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1569
FormLWLWW
62%
38%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (109)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+154
H2H19-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-14)