6 Oct · 21:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1790
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bochnak
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1731
FormWWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Bochnak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (116)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H66-64
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (66-64)