6 Oct · 20:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1318
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Nemec
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1338
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Nemec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (121)
Fair odds · Nemec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H19-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.