6 Oct · 21:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1512
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kowal
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1583
FormWLWLW
44%
56%
🌟Kowal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (60)
Fair odds · Kowal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~71 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H26-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-25)