6 Oct · 18:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1573
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kulisek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1590
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 31% · 3.21· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H22-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.