6 Oct · 19:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Baca
ELO 1500
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Baros
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1512
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
🌟Baros rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (38)
Fair odds · Baros
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.