6 Oct · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1461
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Flesar
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1512
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
🌟Flesar stays under total as favourite 62% (50)
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H17-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.