6 Oct · 20:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1302
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dlask
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1383
FormWLLWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolbusovsky🌟Dlask rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (49)
Fair odds · Dlask
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)