6 Oct · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1600
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ruzicka
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1531
FormWWLLL
56%
44%
🌟Neterda covers set handicap as underdog 70% (61)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H21-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-16)