6 Oct · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1593
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lysakowski
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1517
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Radlo goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~82 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H60-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (60-50)