6 Oct · 21:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇨🇿Miroslav Dolezal
ELO 1447
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stefek
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1488
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Stefek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (50)
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.