6 Oct · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1600
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ruzicka
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1512
FormLWLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)