6 Oct · 18:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1512
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Flesar
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1511
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Flesar stays under total as favourite 62% (50)
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.