6 Oct · 21:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zustina
ELO 1427
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stefek
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1488
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zustina🌟Stefek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (50)
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)