6 Oct · 17:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1511
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Neterda
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1531
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.