6 Oct · 22:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1695
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1790
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vanek🌟Vanek covers set handicap as underdog 73% (67)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H70-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (70-39)