6 Oct · 22:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1302
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sebek
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1318
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolbusovsky🌟Sebek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (13)
Fair odds · Sebek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H42-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.