6 Oct · 15:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1617
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1620
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skvrna🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (173)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H48-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.