6 Oct · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1552
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Patryk
MS
🇨🇿Michal Szostak
ELO 1481
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)