6 Oct · 19:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Michal Szostak
ELO 1481
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Szostak
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1395
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Szostak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H16-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-15)