7 Oct · 09:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1392
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Trnka
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1574
FormWLWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~73 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+182
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)