7 Oct · 09:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1479
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kantor
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1485
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 67% (85)
Fair odds · Kantor
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.