7 Oct · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1485
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kantor
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1464
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kantor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H10-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.