7 Oct · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1615
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skvrna
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1546
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (173)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H22-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-10)