7 Oct · 08:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1615
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skvrna
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1601
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slavik🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (173)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.