7 Oct · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1581
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Slavik
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1533
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (67)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H10-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.