7 Oct · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1615
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vonasek
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1556
FormLLWWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 72% (170)
Fair odds · Vonasek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H55-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-45)