7 Oct · 09:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1464
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1480
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (197)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H24-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.