7 Oct · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1474
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wloszek
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1503
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Wloszek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H17-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.