7 Oct · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1630
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chaloupka
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1597
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
🌟Skulina covers set handicap as underdog 67% (36)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.