7 Oct · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1531
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dvorak
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1450
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (67)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H22-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)