7 Oct · 14:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1627
FormWWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1771
FormLLWLW
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vesecky🌟Vesecky covers set handicap as underdog 63% (124)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+144
H2H31-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-27)