7 Oct · 16:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1420
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Coufal
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1465
FormLLLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Coufal
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.