7 Oct · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1492
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1404
FormWWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H50-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-34)